TOTAL USA DEATHS TODAY MAY 19, 2020
At 6:15 PM
93,347
I made a prior prediction on April 30 link and came close.
How many deaths will it take to defeat President Trump in the election?
The election is in 169 days.
My low ball prediction is 263,000 deaths with re-opening for Nov 3, 2020
Covid 19 will not have a decrease in deaths till
a vaccine or until the states order stay at home orders again.
As an Infectious Disease doctor, I believe the 48 state Governors that are re-opening now are delusional.
Wishful magical thinking.
Irresponsible to say let's see what happens.
However most polls show 60% of people
still do not feel safe to go out.
We must have testing, tracing and treatment.
We need a national plan now to prevent 200,000 USA DEATHS
The 3 T's National Plan link
Wharton Model link
"With a partial reopening, the model forecasts, the death toll will rise to 173,000 people. A full reopening would result in 231,000 deaths. If all the states reopened without adhering to social distancing guidance, that number leaps to 293,000.
At 6:15 PM
93,347
I made a prior prediction on April 30 link and came close.
How many deaths will it take to defeat President Trump in the election?
The election is in 169 days.
My low ball prediction is 263,000 deaths with re-opening for Nov 3, 2020
Covid 19 will not have a decrease in deaths till
a vaccine or until the states order stay at home orders again.
As an Infectious Disease doctor, I believe the 48 state Governors that are re-opening now are delusional.
Wishful magical thinking.
Irresponsible to say let's see what happens.
However most polls show 60% of people
still do not feel safe to go out.
We must have testing, tracing and treatment.
We need a national plan now to prevent 200,000 USA DEATHS
The 3 T's National Plan link
Wharton Model link
"With a partial reopening, the model forecasts, the death toll will rise to 173,000 people. A full reopening would result in 231,000 deaths. If all the states reopened without adhering to social distancing guidance, that number leaps to 293,000.
While these numbers are large, they represent a revision downward from Wharton’s previous forecast of 350,000. They are also much larger than other models."
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